Something big is going to happen.
The way Trump and his administration is moving forward, looks like something big is planned at higher level which will change world dynamics very soon (Specially for Russia and China and may be for India as well)
- Captured Venezuela president (Obilviously for oil not because of drugs).
- Chasing Russian flag oil tankers in sea.
- Moved back on supporting Ukraine.
- Threatening to attack neighbouring countries.
- Threatening to attack Iran.
- Pulled back Troops from NATO, Iraq, Syria.
- Showing extra love for Pakistan (I think it's to use their soil to attack on Iran).
- Threatening everyone with unreasonable tarrifs ( I feel they are using tarrifs as a weapon, Support us or deal with tarrifs).
- Increased defence budget by 50%
- Recently said, China can attack Taiwan if they want, US won't interfere. (May US is trying to push China in war with Taiwan).
- Pulled out membership from 66 International orginasitons.
For India, So many things happened around us like : Government collapsed in Sri Lanka, pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh, Myanmar. Gen Z protest in Nepal. I think they even tired to change regime in India through Farmers protest and Delhi riots but failed.
My thoughts: Small scale war like thing will happen between India ans Bngldsh this year. USA and India trade will complete this year, and Trump will be happy and back to praising Modi. Ukraine and Russia will be engaged in conflict as is. With no support to Ukraine. Iran govt will collapse i.e regime change, and then USA will stop supporting pkstn & will push them under the bus. China will create conflicts with Japan, Taiwan etc and engge there.
This will keep boiling until 2029, where full scale war will happen and in 2030 - USA, China, Russia, EU will have lost so much money due to war engagement.
Israel, India, Saudi, UAE will do nothing and emerge in this situation at the end.
India is dealing Bangladesh situation very calmly, India know it will be waste of time, energy and money for us with zero benefit.
And it will be stupidity on Bangladesh end to start any war with us. They know we can finish them on day one or max 2.
I agree on trade, regime change in Iran. I think Iran will collapse very soon, max 6 months.
And I feel US will push China to create conflict with its neighbours so they remain busy and waste their resources
India and Pakistan will happen fosure but it’ll be India winning and no nuclear escalation
I don't see this happening as of now. As US will be using pakistan to attack on Iran. And pakistan troops will be deployed by US in Iran and Syria.
So pakistan will avoid direct conflict with India. They may continue they proxy war by terrorist attacks and etc
If we get a trade deal I don't think trump will bother us much.and he really wants to end the war so that he can chest thump and say that oh I ended the war.
Trade deal was never a point, I feel he is using trade to blackmail countries to do him a favour.
